IRAQ
- SUPPORT for Iraq War in key countries around the world
A REVIEW OF WORLDWIDE
POPULAR SUPPORT (or lack of it)
FOR WAR ON IRAQ
The war support
statistics were last updated on 4 Mar 2003
Note:
For coverage post Iraq war, please go to our Iraq
page.
The data below should be compared
with the statistics on support
for the U.S. worldwide post 9/11, when even France and Germany
(and their people) - currently being disparaged by people in the Bush
administration - in addition to most European nations supported
the U.S. actions in Afghanistan. An even more poignant reminder
of support from Germany, France, Russia, et al. post 9/11 can be seen
here and here
(via Population:
One).
The key takeaway from recent
polling data across the world is the highly limited (popular) support for military action against Saddam, especially
unilateral action by the U.S. (with some allies). Public
support for military action without U.N. backing - even in nations whose
leaders have signed letters of support for the U.S. - is in the minority
worldwide.
If you find the data below
interesting, check out our detailed one-table/chart compilation of all
pros and cons relating to an invasion of Iraq - here.
If you have additional data on polls
taken in late January or February that you would like to bring to our
attention, please email us at feedback-at-eriposte-dot-com.
| # |
Country/
Area |
Data |
Comments |
| 1 |
Key
countries
worldwide |
Gallup
International Poll conducted in Jan 2003
Please
click on the chart below to enlarge it -
the chart shows a subset of the countries
in which Gallup polled the population.
Support for a military action against Iraq
"unilaterally by the U.S. and its allies" is almost
consistently below 10%-15% in most
countries. Support becomes noticeable
only with U.N. backing and even then there is
limited support in most countries. Note the U.S. data for
comparison - only a third of
the people polled in the U.S. approve unilateral action. (Click here
for the list of the WSJ 8).
Note the comparison between Rumsfeld's "Old Europe" and
the rest (which
presumably includes his "New Europe").

BBC
2-11-03:
Figures are cited in the rest of the table below. However, the
BBC article notes that
"...These
anti-war figures are high compared to similar polls conducted
before other
US-led wars in recent times, including the first Gulf war, Kosovo
and Afghanistan. In
each
of those, military action was seen as being a reaction to
aggressive action by an "enemy"..."
"...US
Secretary of Defence Donald Rumsfeld offended the French and
Germans by
calling them, and others who stood against the US strategy on
Iraq, "old Europe".
He saw the countries of "new Europe" further east as the
more willing allies.
That is true of the political leaders in central and eastern
Europe and the Balkans
- including Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic - all of whom
have signed public
letters of support for the US lead...Yet
public opinion in eastern Europe is even
more hostile to war than in the west..."
|
. |
Support
in countries whose heads wrote letters of support for Bush
administration based
on orchestrated support by the Editorial Page of the Wall Street
Journal (yes!) |
| 2 |
U.K. |
Washington
Post 2-18-03:
(In the U.K.) Today's poll, conducted by ICM, showed
52 percent opposed to military action , with 29 percent in favor
and the rest undecided.
Meanwhile Blair's approval rating has dropped 9 points in the past
two
months -- to 35 percent, the lowest level since September
2000,
when Britain suffered a gasoline shortage. (Note: The
Guardian points out that Blair's
rating has fallen 62 points in 15 months. (via
Daily
Kos))
Tampa
Bay Online 2-17-03: As an aside, note that British PM Tony
Blair's popularity
has dropped to 35% in the latest poll held Feb12-14 in the U.K.
partly owing to his
pro-Bush stance on Iraq. (via BuzzFlash)
BBC
2-12-03 (includes Gallup poll results above)
(a) Fewer than one out of every 10
Britons believe it would be right for the country
to take part in a war against Iraq without the UN
passing a new resolution in favour of it.
(b) 45% of people polled said the UK should play no part in a war
on Iraq - whatever
the UN decides
(c) Three out of every five Britons think the UK and US
Governments have failed to
prove their case that Iraqi president Saddam Hussein has weapons
of mass destruction
(d) And half the people asked agreed with France and Germany that
three times the
present number of inspectors should be sent to Iraq to look for
them.
(e) Fewer than one out of every four said it was to eliminate
weapons of mass destruction.
(f) And just one out of every five thought it was to prevent
another act of international
terrorism "like 11 September".
(g) Almost three out of every four Britons believe a war
against
Saddam would damage relations with Muslims in the UK.
(h) And it indicates that nearly as many (64%) think it would
fail
to deter other countries from developing weapons of mass
destruction.
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A YouGov poll for the Sunday Times on January 26 showed 68 percent
of people
thought Prime Minister Tony Blair had failed to convince them of
the
need for war with Iraq. Some 26 percent said they were convinced
Iraqi President
Saddam Hussein was dangerous enough to necessitate a war. |
. |
| 3 |
Spain |
Guardian
2-18-03 reporting on an El Pais newspaper poll (via Atrios):
An El Pais newspaper poll two weeks ago showed 69% of Spaniards
were against
even a UN-backed war.
Also noteworthy:
"...Spain's
prime minister, Jose Maria Aznar, was coming to terms
yesterday with the fact that his unswerving support for George
Bush on Iraq
had inflicted heavy political damage that could cost his
conservative People's party
its hold on power. Ministers
admitted that the government's position was
"causing significant electoral damage" and Mr Aznar's
wife, Ana Botella, was
quoted as saying his party was going through "one of the
worst moments in its history".
Between 2 million and 3 million people took to the streets of
Spanish cities to
protest at the weekend in what was said to the biggest overall
turnout in the
world. As many as one in 15 Spaniards marched. More significantly
for Mr Aznar,
opinion polls have shown that, for the first time since securing a
clear victory in elections
three years ago, the Socialists have overtaken the People's party
in voting intentions.
Mr Aznar also faced
embarrassment yesterday when it was revealed that in 1997
he had offered to pay Baghdad in "aid" if it gave oil
contracts to the
Spanish-owned Repsol company. The government was ready to make a
"donation" if
Repsol was given a concession in the Nasiriya field, despite the
fact that the UN
had just issued a series of resolutions condemning Iraq's
continued blocking of
inspections, according to El Mundo newspaper, which quoted
official documents..."
Gallup International Poll 2003:
Over 70% oppose any military action against Iraq.
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A January poll by right-of-centre newspaper El Mundo found 80
percent
of Spaniards opposed the U.S. stance towards war in Iraq
while
another by a radio station in the same month showed only 6.6
percent
thought there were reasons to go to war. No official poll has been
carried out
since September, when two thirds of Spaniards opposed a war.
|
. |
| 4 |
Italy |
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A poll by Swg published on January 29 showed 72.7 percent of
Italians
disagreed with a U.S.-led preventative war against Iraq
while
18.8 percent said they would support such action. |
. |
| 5 |
Poland |
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A TNS-OBOP survey showed 63 percent of Poles opposed
sending troops to join any action against Iraq but 52
percent
thought the country should give political backing to
the United States for any such action. |
. |
| 6 |
Portugal |
Gallup International Poll 2003:
Over 50% oppose any military action against Iraq.
AlertNet
1-30-03:
No official polls were available but an informal
survey
by Diario Digital showed opinion running almost two
to one against Portugal supporting any U.S.-led action.
|
. |
| 7 |
Hungary |
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A Gallup poll published on January 27 showed 82 percent
of Hungarians opposed military action under any
circumstances.
The remaining 18 percent said they would support a war but
of those, two thirds said that support would be conditional on
U.N. approval. |
. |
| 8 |
Czech
Republic |
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A poll by the publicly-funded CVVM agency in the Czech
Republic
on Thursday showed 67 percent were against a war with Iraq
and
24 percent of respondents were in favour. The support total falls
to 13
percent without a second U.N. resolution while the percentage
against the
war rises to 76 percent. |
. |
| 9 |
Denmark |
Gallup International Poll 2003:
Over 45% oppose any military action against Iraq, and less
than 40% support
military action backed by the U.N.
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A Vilstrup Research poll published on January 25 showed 79
percent
of Danes would oppose a U.S.-led war without a U.N. mandate
while
57 percent would still oppose a war if there was a U.N. mandate.
|
. |
| Support
of people in Rumsfeld's "Old Europe" |
| 10 |
France |
Gallup International Poll 2003:
~60% oppose any military action against Iraq. About a third of
those polled support
military action, most only if the U.N. backs it.
AlertNet
1-30-03:
A CSA Institute poll published on January 23 showed 73 percent of
French people were
against a U.S.-led attack on Iraq, up from 66 percent in a similar
poll two weeks earlier.
|
. |
| 11 |
Germany |
Gallup International Poll 2003:
~50% oppose any military action against Iraq. However slightly
under 50% support
military action, but largely (almost 40%) only if the U.N. backs
it.
AlertNet
1-30-03:
An opinion poll by Germany's Forsa institute published a
week ago found 69 percent
of Germans wanted the country to vote against any U.N. resolution
mandating war
against Iraq. An Emnid poll in Der Spiegel news magazine showed 72
percent
of Germans were against their troops joining any war.
BBC
2-11-03:
- The Forsa poll found 57% of Germans held
the opinion that "the United States is
a nation of warmongers".
- Only 6% said they thought President George W Bush was
concerned
with "preserving peace".
|
. |
| Other
countries |
| 12 |
Australia |
The
Star 2-18-03:
An opinion poll also taken on the weekend and
published
Tuesday showed Howard's popularity has slumped to an eight-month
low.
His voter satisfaction rating plummeted from 65 percent last
October to 48
percent, the Newspoll poll published in The Australian newspaper
showed.
The prime minister said his policies on Iraq were based on what he
thinks
is right and not what might be popular. (via Daily
Kos)
Gallup International Poll 2003:
~27% oppose any military action against Iraq. About 56% support
military action only if the U.N. backs
it. Only 12% back unilateral action.
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